Response to a Daily Dish Reader

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The following is an email I sent to Andrew Sullivan regarding this post.  I’m rooting for myself for this to make it onto his blog!  Exciting stuff, this blogosphere.

While this reader makes a point about the hazard of automobile accidents vs. that of terrorist strikes (the former, likely to be a far more deadly one, of course), the reality has more to do with the public perception of risk.  Peter Sandman, a prominent PhD in communications, developed the equation RISK = HAZARD + OUTRAGE (as described in the following paper by Rolf Schmid (PDF)):

The public … overestimate[s] risk when outrage is high and the hazard is low. Thus, when outrage is high, i.e., when people are angry and frustrated, they tend to perceive the hazard to be high – whether it is or not. Alternatively, when outrage is low, people perceive the hazard to be low too.

Thus it is far more outrageous when someone tries to blow up a plane full of innocent people than when an ice storm causes an 80-car pileup.

A website that you can AQAL-ly tag web content for sharing and discussion with other Integralites.

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I think a site like this could have a few of implications:

One: a kind of an ILP module practice of placing web content of interest into it’s appropriate place in the Levels and Lines, etc. of the Four Quadrants.  So the end user would “map” the piece by tagging it using an interface that provides all the AQAL dimensions.

Two: a large, searchable database of the sum total AQAL-ly “mapped” web content by all of the users.  Correct me if I’m wrong, but this would be a great resource for any students, enthusiasts or academics of Integral Theory.

Three: sharing of, and discussion around, the submissions in the same vein as Reddit, or Digg (except Integral, of course! :).

Lemme know if you think something like this would be useful. I have created a beta version, for those who are interested (here it is). Feedback would be always and forever eternally appreciated.

Thanks!

-bryan

The Death of Macho

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Foreign Policy Magazine has done a writeup titled: The Death of Macho, which predicts the fall of the risk-junky, good ol’ boys culture that once pervaded the upper echelons of the finance industry.  I wrote these two articles in November along the same lines. Fun stuff.

Adventures in Reddit Statistics

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The data set consists of 1 month of Reddit top submissions (gathered when submissions were syndicated via Reddit’s main RSS feed).

The Chart

  • Plotting upvotes vs. downvotes by submission yields a predictable upvote vs. downvote ratio–practically a 2 to 1 average.
  • Bias is inherent in Reddit’s ranking algorithm since submissions that get more downvotes than upvotes don’t make it to the top. There are definitely (although relatively few) outlier submissions with greater-than-usual upvotes vs. downvotes.
  • One can’t conclude that the algorithm (unless you actually know the code) actually filters submissions near this ratio.  If not then the voting Reddit community at large votes rather predictably within limited deviation along the above trendline.

UPDATE: Reddit discussion here. Also a log x log chart after the jump.

log log

The crumbling of a worldview’s foundation.

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Andrew Sullivan has been opining the situation in Iran–yes the same Iran that politically represents radical Islam’s menace to the Western world–which held a highly polarized, and emotionally charged election on Friday (did you know that?).  The incumbent, Mahmud Ahmadinejad (the hard-lined establishment representative) scraped by with two thirds of the popular vote in a record 85% voter turnout (unprecedented in democratic elections of yore, mind you!), Except that it was a complete fraud. The fact of the matter is that two thirds of Iran’s population is under 30.  And the average American would likely be surprised by the economic and social aspirations of this demographic (i.e. they long to join us on the global stage free and prosperous societies without all that fascist regime repression).   And a major movement of reform has been brewing for some time–particularly leading up to the election.  Anyways, they’re all convinced that they’re collective vote for the other guy (named Mousavi), and violent protest has erupted in major cities all over the country. Yet here in the States, not a peep on the media.  The major apex of the “Axis of Evil” might be rupturing at it’s core to potentially give birth to (possibly, inevitably) democracy, yet we pay no mind?  Is this response (or lack thereof) really appropriate of a Nation truly concerned for spreading democracy around the world as well as it’s own (and it’s allies’) existential security? Weird….

The face of our, er, enemy?

Note: Wouldn’t we hope these faces to be common amongst those of Iran’s new generation? Shouldn’t they have our full support?

Getting Into Iyengar Yoga

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Light On Yoga

My wife had convinced me to go to an Iyengar based yoga class a couple of years ago, and I made it through a single session (only stopped going because of time constraints). There I mentally began cutting through all of my conditioned judgements about the practice (too new-agey; isn’t this just for girls? etc.), and remained enthusiastic. Recently we purchased a copy of B.K.S. Iyengar (otherwise known as the “father of yoga” in the West) and decided to do a routine after work–I figure the 300 week course outlined in the book would satisfy my yoga ambition. Here’s some sample slides of the week 1 course:

Pretty simple at the get-go (BTW That’s him! That’s Iyengar!)

Iyengar: Tadasana Slide 1

Crikey! This stuff does challenge.
Iyengar: Slide 244 Interlocking

While engaging in the stretches, I also began to see what it was that yoga was “getting at.” Aside from it being a rigorous workout, when done properly it is both a guide to honing the body’s (and therefore mind’s) capacity for balance, and it also revealed to be a deep meditation rooted in discipline. Turns out doing yoga really does satisfy me and I have to say that I definitely feel euphoric after a bout.

Forward to Light on Yoga By Yehudi Menuhin:

“The practice of Yoga induces a primary sense of measure and proportion. Reduced to our own body, our first instrument, we learn to play it, drawing from it maximum resonance and harmony. With unflagging patience we refine and animate every cell as we return daily to the attack, unlocking and liberating capacities otherwise condemned to frustration and death.

Each unfulfilled area of tissue and nerve, of brain or lung, is a challenge to our will and integrity, or otherwise a source of frustration and death. Whoever has had the privilege of receiving Mr Iyengar’s attention, or of witnessing the precision, refinement and beauty of his art, is introduced to that vision of perfection and innocence which is man as first created-unarmed, unashamed, son of God, lord of creation-in the Garden of Eden. The tree of knowledge has indeed yielded much fruit of great variety, sweet, poisonious, bitter, wholesome according to our use of it. But is it not more imperative then ever that we cultivate the tree, that we nourish it’s roots? And furthermore how dangerous is that knowledge to those who, ill at ease with themselves, would rather apply it to the manipulation of other people and things than to the improvement of their own persons.

The practice of Yoga over the past fifteen years has convinced me that most of our fundamental attitudes to life have their physical counter part in the body. Thus comparison and criticism must begin with the alignment of our own left and right sides to a degree at which even further adjustments are feasible: or strength of will will cause us to start stretching the body from the toes to the top of the headin defiance of gravity. Impetus and ambition might begin with the sense of weight and speed that comes with free-swinging limbs, instead of the control of prolonged balance on one foot, feet or hands, which give poise. Tenacity is gained by stretching in various Yoga postures for minutes at a time, while calmness comes with quiet, consistent breathing and the expansion of the lungs. Continuity and a sense of the universe come with the knowledge of the inevitable alternation of tension and relaxation in external rhythms of which each inhalation an exhalation constitutes one cycle, wave or vibration among the countless myriads which are the universe.

Yoga, as practised by Mr. Iyengar, is the dedicated votive offering of a man who brings himself to the alter, alone and clean in body and mind, focused in attention and in will, offering in simplicity and innocence not a burnt sacrifice, but simply himself raised to his own highest potential.

It is a technique ideally suited to prevent physical and mental illness and to protect the body generally, developing an inevitable sense of self-reliance and assurance. By it’s very nature it is inextricably associated with universal laws: for respect for life, truth, and patience are all indispensable factors in the drawing of a quiet breath, in calmness of mind and firmness of will.

In this lies the moral virues inherent in Yoga. For those it demands a complete and total effort, involving and forming the whole human being. No mechanical repetition is involved and no lip service as in the case of good resolutions or formal prayers. By its very nature it is each time and every moment a living act.”

The beautiful origins / offshoots of the english language.

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Read along to the lyrics while listening to this ancient-sounding Gaelic song. It’s a beautiful experience, isn’t it?


Imtheochaidh soir is siar
A dtáinig ariamh an ghealach is an ghrian
Fol lol the doh, fol the day
Fol the doh, fol the day
Imtheochaidh an ghealach’s an ghrian
An duine óg is a cháil ‘na dhiadh
Fol lol the doh, fol the day
Fol the doh, fol the day

Fol lol the doh, fol the day
Fol the doh, fol the day

Imtheochaidh a dtáinig ariamh
An duine óg is a cháil ne dhiadh
Fol lol the doh, fol the day
Fol the doh, fol the day :):.:….

Spotting Transformation Via Marketplace Anomolies

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 I just saw a flabbergasting account of a company attacking a customer for improving it’s product’s performance.  The lambasting came from digital audio tech. company, Creative, who threatened one of it’s own forum moderators to end the distribution of custom built drivers. I highly recommend reading through the ensuing forum thread–linked to above.

From the book Wikinomics:

 ”Despite … rich history of customer innovation, most companies consider the innovation and amateur creativity that takes place in communities of users and hobbyists a fringe phenomenon of little concern or value to their core markets. Firms often resist or ignore customer innovations.”

This has clrealy been the old paradigm in the manufacturer-customer relationship as far as innovation is concerned. But what happens when the internet allows for like-minded enthusiasts to get together and pool ideas?  Is this not product R & D? Wikinomics again:

“companies are discovering that “lead users”–people who stretch the limits of existing technology and often create their own product prototypes in the process–often develop modifications and extensions to products that will eventually appeal to mainstream markets.  In other words, lead users serve as a beacon for where the mainstream market is headed.”

The integral company is one that would reach out to these innovative consumers, in a mutually beneficial two-way flow of products and ideas.  But  much of the marketplace is adapting to this new form of customer centric business. I would observe this as the emergence of  second-tier or teal-valued models. Such communities fit the description from Spiral Dynamics:

    “While complex learning involves an array of higher-order thinking skills, it does not depend on raw IQ scores or formal education. Rather, it can be characterized by the knack of information gathering, the ability to access knowledge on multiple levels, the mental energy and discipline to carry through long-term tasks, and a sense of awe and playful delight with the new and novel.”

This is also the spirit of so many Open Source communities from which much of the software running the Web is built from.  Possibilities are being made more and more of a reality every day.  Within the next five years we will see even more extraordinary changes take hold.  Hopefully by then all of our workplaces adapt such conscious policies… :)

The Acceleration

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Evolution is happening right now. We could even argue that it’s happening at a larger magnitude than ever before. Check this pic:
Evolution

It shows how evolutionary steps seem to occur at exponentially shorter intervals until us humans arrive at the last split second of relative Earth time. And it don’t stop there.

Nor does the trend discontinue. Faster and faster do major human developments occur. So fast that what is seen is an “exponential growth in the rate of exponential growth,” as outlined here by famous futurist Ray Kurzweil through the observation of our technological footprint.

Shift Happens is a video glimpse into our current change in paradigm:

I guess we now see where this is going, huh? Er, actually we have little idea where this is going except that at some point it is plausibly hypothesized that there will be a crescendo of all these advancements. This apex event is often dubbed The Singularity–But wait! This development is not expected to happen only in the technology sphere but perhaps even within consciousness itself! Phatty quote from Ken Wilber:

around 30 years from now, there will occur a tetra-Singularity of staggering proportions. Think of it like the Singularity described by Ray Kurzweil-except that his Singularity only refers to the Right-Hand quadrants, not the interior or Left-Hand quadrants, where, the AQAL Code predicts, we will finally have over 10% of the population reaching truly Integral (or ‘second-tier’) levels-hence, a Singularity-like occurrence in all four quadrants.”

(hyperlink addition is mine. Bold emphasis is not). Check it out; this stuff is entering the mainstream as we speak. Here’s Nicole Kidman in ‘Invaders’ (Scroll down. HT: C4)

Wanna get even further out? This event is predicted (or even prophesied) to occur within most of our lifetimes. For fun, lets check out the 2012 subculture (proceed with caution; here be “Pre/Post Fallacy” dragons–nevertheless, I love the spirit of all this cosmic momentum!) .One branch of the 2012 phenomenon revolves around
Carl Johan Calleman’s Mayan calendar prophecies. I find the following presentations by Ian Xel Lungold really capture the acceleration mystery and even offers good advice on how to deal with the increasing crazyness that ensues (this is the first of three videos. Check out all of them):
The second surge of 2012 buffs come from the school of controversial psychedelic guru Terence McKenna and his Time Wave Zero theory which was mathematically derived from the ancient I-Ching divination technique. McKenna asserts that history is an exponentially increasing unfoldment of Novelty over time, and that sometime in the year 2012 this Novelty “goes off the charts.” It’s interesting to note that McKenna arrived at his theory independent from the Mayan calendar research. Here’s Terence riffing on his incredible ideas: Aside from the 2012 hype there is also explanation by Ray Kurzweil himself in this audio, which, I think dwarfs all other explanations of the singularity in scope, vision AND far-outness. Let the consciousness unfold!